I have seen many people here saying there’s no point in saving packs because you will never pack a TOTY in the last a few days. Well last year the grind comes out with Hakimi Cancelo Jorginho Donnarumma and this year we start with Theo! Again, you gonna be in it to win it😄
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U horded that one for a full 23 minutes 🤣
Oh yeah. That's the new one.
But the point is that a lot of people don't believe TOTY is very packable these days anyways
I am pretty sure we gonna come out with more with saved packs.
Agree
They still have an insanely low pack weight like always.
Last year I packed a couple of TOTY cards but spent about 2 mil in upgrades to do it.
That’s very true but with let’s say 500 packs saved and each with 1% possibility, the chance of hitting at least 1 TOTY is like 99.35%.
Yup see the calculation above, even with only 100 pack, you still have 63.5% of hitting at least one TOTY.
Pretty sure probability don't work like that 😂 obviously if your opening alot there's a bigger chance you will hit something eventually
That’s the way it works 1-(.99^500), as simple as that.
No the aim of the thread is just to show the grind will eventually pay off. After all, it’s a probability game and when the number is big enough, it’s hard to not pack sth. good.
There might or might not be the red list thing, but I highly doubt EA will blacklist any customer so even with their claimed low probability, it’s still viable to pack some.
Yeah, using the parameters he gave, his probability is correct. Despite that I never pack one even when crafting thousands of packs 😂.