TOTSSF Vardy and Ter Stegen....
at least i used untradables and no dupes for me
is Vardy any good? i already TOTSSF Aguero tradable and TOTSSF Richarlison untradable... might sell Aguero since he's on the bench anyways (and i have his POTM)
It seems like people are pulling some bangers out of this SBC.. tempted to do it but knowing my luck I'll pull the worst possible players and end up p!ssed off.. right now I'm kinda chill, so not sure about it.
Oblak and Koulibaly. Great way to finish a terrific year.
Any mathematicians have the odds of packing two rare gold cards in these? Of course, the actual odds are about 1 in 2 mind.
There are 23 normal gold cards rated 89+.
89 - Koulibaly, Kane, Busquets, Chiellini, de Gea
90 - Modric, ter Stegen
91 - Oblak
Only the 8 listed above aren't part of the pre-season promo. 15 are part of pre-season promo.
There are 51 players in the pre-season promo. Only Saint-Maximin is <89 so can't be packed as a reward for this sbc. 50 Special players are in that pool to be packed.
Additionally, Immobile (92) and Lukaku (89) are in current totw.
So there are 8+50+2 = 60 players that you could potentially get.
Only 8 of these are non-special cards.
There are 1770 two-card combinations in total of those 60 cards.
There are 28 two-card combinations of non-special cards alone.
There are 1326 two-card combinations of special cards alone.
The chance of getting two non-special cards is 1.6%
The chance of getting two special cards is 74.9%.
The chance of getting one of each is 23.5%.
From the evidence on here, I would say that far more than 1.6% of people are getting two non-special cards, suggesting that the pack weights are skewed in significant favour of packing an 89/90 non-special card.
Oblak and Koulibaly. Great way to finish a terrific year.
Any mathematicians have the odds of packing two rare gold cards in these? Of course, the actual odds are about 1 in 2 mind.
There are 23 normal gold cards rated 89+.
89 - Koulibaly, Kane, Busquets, Chiellini, de Gea
90 - Modric, ter Stegen
91 - Oblak
Only the 8 listed above aren't part of the pre-season promo. 15 are part of pre-season promo.
There are 51 players in the pre-season promo. Only Saint-Maximin is <89 so can't be packed as a reward for this sbc. 50 Special players are in that pool to be packed.
Additionally, Immobile (92) and Lukaku (89) are in current totw.
So there are 8+50+2 = 60 players that you could potentially get.
Only 8 of these are non-special cards.
There are 1770 two-card combinations in total of those 60 cards.
There are 28 two-card combinations of non-special cards alone.
There are 1326 two-card combinations of special cards alone.
The chance of getting two non-special cards is 1.6%
The chance of getting two special cards is 74.9%.
The chance of getting one of each is 23.5%.
From the evidence on here, I would say that far more than 1.6% of people are getting two non-special cards, suggesting that the pack weights are skewed in significant favour of packing an 89/90 non-special card.
That's all well and good, but this assumes there's an equal chance on each card being pulled and we know there's a much greater chance of pulling the lower rated NIFs than the valuable ones. That's always the case.
Oblak and Koulibaly. Great way to finish a terrific year.
Any mathematicians have the odds of packing two rare gold cards in these? Of course, the actual odds are about 1 in 2 mind.
There are 23 normal gold cards rated 89+.
89 - Koulibaly, Kane, Busquets, Chiellini, de Gea
90 - Modric, ter Stegen
91 - Oblak
Only the 8 listed above aren't part of the pre-season promo. 15 are part of pre-season promo.
There are 51 players in the pre-season promo. Only Saint-Maximin is <89 so can't be packed as a reward for this sbc. 50 Special players are in that pool to be packed.
Additionally, Immobile (92) and Lukaku (89) are in current totw.
So there are 8+50+2 = 60 players that you could potentially get.
Only 8 of these are non-special cards.
There are 1770 two-card combinations in total of those 60 cards.
There are 28 two-card combinations of non-special cards alone.
There are 1326 two-card combinations of special cards alone.
The chance of getting two non-special cards is 1.6%
The chance of getting two special cards is 74.9%.
The chance of getting one of each is 23.5%.
From the evidence on here, I would say that far more than 1.6% of people are getting two non-special cards, suggesting that the pack weights are skewed in significant favour of packing an 89/90 non-special card.
It would be scary to imagine what the pack weight might be for some players, you would never buy packs again
Oblak and Koulibaly. Great way to finish a terrific year.
Any mathematicians have the odds of packing two rare gold cards in these? Of course, the actual odds are about 1 in 2 mind.
There are 23 normal gold cards rated 89+.
89 - Koulibaly, Kane, Busquets, Chiellini, de Gea
90 - Modric, ter Stegen
91 - Oblak
Only the 8 listed above aren't part of the pre-season promo. 15 are part of pre-season promo.
There are 51 players in the pre-season promo. Only Saint-Maximin is <89 so can't be packed as a reward for this sbc. 50 Special players are in that pool to be packed.
Additionally, Immobile (92) and Lukaku (89) are in current totw.
So there are 8+50+2 = 60 players that you could potentially get.
Only 8 of these are non-special cards.
There are 1770 two-card combinations in total of those 60 cards.
There are 28 two-card combinations of non-special cards alone.
There are 1326 two-card combinations of special cards alone.
The chance of getting two non-special cards is 1.6%
The chance of getting two special cards is 74.9%.
The chance of getting one of each is 23.5%.
From the evidence on here, I would say that far more than 1.6% of people are getting two non-special cards, suggesting that the pack weights are skewed in significant favour of packing an 89/90 non-special card.
It would be scary to imagine what the pack weight might be for some players, you would never buy packs again
I'd love to know the reason why some people continuously pack amazing players and some continuously pack garbage.
Do EA literally rig certain accounts to be more lucky or something?
For example...
Multiple times in WL I've played against guys with amazing red picks throughout their entire team, and I mean cards worth close to a million or more. Red kdbs, Messi, ronaldos, Ben yedders, asm, mbappes, varane, vvd, gomez etc etc...
What causes them to get continuously lucky?
It's obvious something dodgy goes on in the background. Perhaps upon account creation, the account gets a 'luck' percentage and that account will just pack decent cards the entire year....
Pure speculation but not really sure what else it can be.
My best red was 91 Vvd back in 2019. I've had garbage reds ever since, not even worth talking about.. oh actually ... That's a lie,I packed FB griezman a few weeks back but he's pretty meh at this stage of the game anyway and worth peanuts to the better players around.
Oblak and Koulibaly. Great way to finish a terrific year.
Any mathematicians have the odds of packing two rare gold cards in these? Of course, the actual odds are about 1 in 2 mind.
There are 23 normal gold cards rated 89+.
89 - Koulibaly, Kane, Busquets, Chiellini, de Gea
90 - Modric, ter Stegen
91 - Oblak
Only the 8 listed above aren't part of the pre-season promo. 15 are part of pre-season promo.
There are 51 players in the pre-season promo. Only Saint-Maximin is <89 so can't be packed as a reward for this sbc. 50 Special players are in that pool to be packed.
Additionally, Immobile (92) and Lukaku (89) are in current totw.
So there are 8+50+2 = 60 players that you could potentially get.
Only 8 of these are non-special cards.
There are 1770 two-card combinations in total of those 60 cards.
There are 28 two-card combinations of non-special cards alone.
There are 1326 two-card combinations of special cards alone.
The chance of getting two non-special cards is 1.6%
The chance of getting two special cards is 74.9%.
The chance of getting one of each is 23.5%.
From the evidence on here, I would say that far more than 1.6% of people are getting two non-special cards, suggesting that the pack weights are skewed in significant favour of packing an 89/90 non-special card.
Nice!
Good to know I'm finally got some players (Busquest and Chielini) with the lowest chance (1.6%). I finally did it!
Oblak and Koulibaly. Great way to finish a terrific year.
Any mathematicians have the odds of packing two rare gold cards in these? Of course, the actual odds are about 1 in 2 mind.
There are 23 normal gold cards rated 89+.
89 - Koulibaly, Kane, Busquets, Chiellini, de Gea
90 - Modric, ter Stegen
91 - Oblak
Only the 8 listed above aren't part of the pre-season promo. 15 are part of pre-season promo.
There are 51 players in the pre-season promo. Only Saint-Maximin is <89 so can't be packed as a reward for this sbc. 50 Special players are in that pool to be packed.
Additionally, Immobile (92) and Lukaku (89) are in current totw.
So there are 8+50+2 = 60 players that you could potentially get.
Only 8 of these are non-special cards.
There are 1770 two-card combinations in total of those 60 cards.
There are 28 two-card combinations of non-special cards alone.
There are 1326 two-card combinations of special cards alone.
The chance of getting two non-special cards is 1.6%
The chance of getting two special cards is 74.9%.
The chance of getting one of each is 23.5%.
From the evidence on here, I would say that far more than 1.6% of people are getting two non-special cards, suggesting that the pack weights are skewed in significant favour of packing an 89/90 non-special card.
Nice!
Good to know I'm finally got some players (Busquest and Chielini) with the lowest chance (1.6%). I finally did it!
I got de Gea and Ter Stegen. Combined market value 95k. Both gks, different leagues, hard to even fit together in a future sbc.
I chucked in individual players who'd have had a higher market value than the sum of what I got back. Total market value of what I submitted would've probably been around 600k - thank god I only put untradeables in.
Possibly one of the most damning sbcs I've done - odds seemed so good and promising to get at least one special card, but didn't even get a special flare and any exciting anticipation when it started opening. Immediate disappointment and disillusionment.
Guess i got the worse pack here.
Gold versions of both Neuer and de gea
You got 88 Neuer in a 89+ pack? That's definitively the worst pack here.
@BuZuS not too sure why you're trying to be clever when you don't understand what 'definitively' means. Resultedly as a consequence you probably don't understand what 'definitely' means either.
Comments
Could be worse
at least i used untradables and no dupes for me
is Vardy any good? i already TOTSSF Aguero tradable and TOTSSF Richarlison untradable... might sell Aguero since he's on the bench anyways (and i have his POTM)
Currently using 94 Bruno at CF, not sure Richarlison will be an improvement? Will give him some games tomorrow...
Oblak, you're re-signing for SBC FC
I'll take that
Chiellini 89
Can’t get much worse
Any mathematicians have the odds of packing two rare gold cards in these? Of course, the actual odds are about 1 in 2 mind.
honestly think many of us got 2 golds. But never post.
89 - Koulibaly, Kane, Busquets, Chiellini, de Gea
90 - Modric, ter Stegen
91 - Oblak
Only the 8 listed above aren't part of the pre-season promo. 15 are part of pre-season promo.
There are 51 players in the pre-season promo. Only Saint-Maximin is <89 so can't be packed as a reward for this sbc. 50 Special players are in that pool to be packed.
Additionally, Immobile (92) and Lukaku (89) are in current totw.
So there are 8+50+2 = 60 players that you could potentially get.
Only 8 of these are non-special cards.
There are 1770 two-card combinations in total of those 60 cards.
There are 28 two-card combinations of non-special cards alone.
There are 1326 two-card combinations of special cards alone.
The chance of getting two non-special cards is 1.6%
The chance of getting two special cards is 74.9%.
The chance of getting one of each is 23.5%.
From the evidence on here, I would say that far more than 1.6% of people are getting two non-special cards, suggesting that the pack weights are skewed in significant favour of packing an 89/90 non-special card.
That's all well and good, but this assumes there's an equal chance on each card being pulled and we know there's a much greater chance of pulling the lower rated NIFs than the valuable ones. That's always the case.
I'd love to know the reason why some people continuously pack amazing players and some continuously pack garbage.
Do EA literally rig certain accounts to be more lucky or something?
For example...
Multiple times in WL I've played against guys with amazing red picks throughout their entire team, and I mean cards worth close to a million or more. Red kdbs, Messi, ronaldos, Ben yedders, asm, mbappes, varane, vvd, gomez etc etc...
What causes them to get continuously lucky?
It's obvious something dodgy goes on in the background. Perhaps upon account creation, the account gets a 'luck' percentage and that account will just pack decent cards the entire year....
Pure speculation but not really sure what else it can be.
My best red was 91 Vvd back in 2019. I've had garbage reds ever since, not even worth talking about.. oh actually ... That's a lie,I packed FB griezman a few weeks back but he's pretty meh at this stage of the game anyway and worth peanuts to the better players around.
Nice!
Good to know I'm finally got some players (Busquest and Chielini) with the lowest chance (1.6%). I finally did it!
I chucked in individual players who'd have had a higher market value than the sum of what I got back. Total market value of what I submitted would've probably been around 600k - thank god I only put untradeables in.
Possibly one of the most damning sbcs I've done - odds seemed so good and promising to get at least one special card, but didn't even get a special flare and any exciting anticipation when it started opening. Immediate disappointment and disillusionment.
Not bad
Gold versions of both Neuer and de gea
Decent
@BuZuS not too sure why you're trying to be clever when you don't understand what 'definitively' means. Resultedly as a consequence you probably don't understand what 'definitely' means either.