Very good to know.
Problem is, from what I've read, you see the pack probabilities only from the store page and not when you choose WL/SB/Rivals rewards, which is what I'd really like to know before choosing which type of reward I want...

Very good to know.
Problem is, from what I've read, you see the pack probabilities only from the store page and not when you choose WL/SB/Rivals rewards, which is what I'd really like to know before choosing which type of reward I want...

I assume they only have the obligation to show odds for the cash bought packs, not for the ones that they “gift you”.

Starting at launch, FIFA 19 will begin displaying pack probabilities, which will detail the likelihood of what you will get in every pack that you purchase. We believe that providing you with this information will help you make decisions on where you want to invest your FIFA Points, FUT Coins, and time in order to build your best FUT squad. will help us cover our **** in future legal battles regarding the legality of our business model

And there is no way a 7.5 Pack has 20% chance on an 82+ player. Everybody that put coins into WC mode (and got a **** of 7.5k packs in regular FUT) can vouch for that.

4.5% for an 84+ isn't too bad, was expecting worse odds.

Yeah I cant wait to pull Jonas, W Carvalho, Mandzukic and De Vrij every 20 packs.

Yup, and that's yer 4 for the 12K FP's you put in.

wow that's put into context for me

Yeah. What I want to know is the probability of hitting ANY icon. Now that'd be more worthwhile, and let's be honest, most people are opening packs to hit elite players, not just 84's.

Edit :- So EA have told us the probability of hitting an 84 is 4.5%. What that doesn't answer is the probability of hitting the best players, so the 88+'s, the icons, the informs. Basically what @Tof33z has said.

Those probabilities are likely calculated via millions and millions of pack opening simulations.
Whether that will correlate to the same probability from... I don't know, 20 or 50 packs, is highly doubtful.
So what should really be written there is "certain", "not very likely", and "not likely"...

4.5% for an 84+ isn't too bad, was expecting worse odds.

Yeah I cant wait to pull Jonas, W Carvalho, Mandzukic and De Vrij every 20 packs.

Yup, and that's yer 4 for the 12K FP's you put in.

wow that's put into context for me

Yeah. What I want to know is the probability of hitting ANY icon. Now that'd be more worthwhile, and let's be honest, most people are opening packs to hit elite players, not just 84's.

think you have more chance sleeping with the Icon then packing him

Should have shown what 85+ was probably about 1.5 or 2%. I dont even open many packs and must have packed Jonas, Dzeko etc about 30 times each this year.

Those probabilities are likely calculated via millions and millions of pack opening simulations.
Whether that will correlate to the same probability from... I don't know, 20 or 50 packs, is highly doubtful.
So what should really be written there is "certain", "not very likely", and "not likely"...

Simulations have nothing to do with it. Pack odds aren't given to us by the divine providence, they're programmed by EA. They know the actual odds of packing certain players.

I just wish he had something a little more specific than this.

Starting at launch, FIFA 19 will begin displaying pack probabilities, which will detail the likelihood of what you will get in every pack that you purchase. We believe that providing you with this information will help you make decisions on where you want to invest your FIFA Points, FUT Coins, and time in order to build your best FUT squad. will help us cover our **** in future legal battles regarding the legality of our business model

And there is no way a 7.5 Pack has 20% chance on an 82+ player. Everybody that put coins into WC mode (and got a **** of 7.5k packs in regular FUT) can vouch for that.

To be fair, I opened only 30 or so of WC 7.5k free packs and packed Fof Ronaldo so...

Those probabilities are likely calculated via millions and millions of pack opening simulations.
Whether that will correlate to the same probability from... I don't know, 20 or 50 packs, is highly doubtful.
So what should really be written there is "certain", "not very likely", and "not likely"...

Simulations have nothing to do with it. Pack odds aren't given to us by the divine providence, they're programmed by EA. They know the actual odds of packing certain players.

I just wish he had something a little more specific than this.

Probably it's just something to cover their legal backsides.
"It's not gambling if you know the chances of what you're going to get!"...

Can't wait for all the topics moaning about not getting a 82+ player after 5 packs cause 5 x 20% is 100%

We're going to see a lot of probability fails in the forums.

Mods going to have the following on copy & paste in a heartbeat ;

"Any probability percentages that you see are on a pack-by-pack basis and are not cumulative. That means that each pack opening is an independent event; opening multiple packs does not change the likelihood of being awarded an item from a specific category. If you flip a coin three times and get heads each time, you still have a 50% chance of getting heads if you flip the coin again. "

## Comments

Problem is, from what I've read, you see the pack probabilities only from the store page and not when you choose WL/SB/Rivals rewards, which is what I'd really like to know before choosing which type of reward I want...

I assume they only have the obligation to show odds for the cash bought packs, not for the ones that they “gift you”.

inb4 tHaT's nOt HoW pAcK oDdS wOrK

ModeratorFor a 7.5k pack, I'd say that's right

Packs a mugs game

Starting at launch, FIFA 19 will begin displaying pack probabilities, which will detail the likelihood of what you will get in every pack that you purchase. We believe that providing you with this information will help you make decisions on where you want to invest your FIFA Points, FUT Coins, and time in order to build your best FUT squad. will help us cover our **** in future legal battles regarding the legality of our business modelAnd there is no way a 7.5 Pack has 20% chance on an 82+ player. Everybody that put coins into WC mode (and got a **** of 7.5k packs in regular FUT) can vouch for that.

Yeah I cant wait to pull Jonas, W Carvalho, Mandzukic and De Vrij every 20 packs.

True that!

Yup, and that's yer 4 for the 12K FP's you put in.

wow that's put into context for me

Yeah. What I want to know is the probability of hitting ANY icon. Now that'd be more worthwhile, and let's be honest, most people are opening packs to hit elite players, not just 84's.

Edit :- So EA have told us the probability of hitting an 84 is 4.5%. What that doesn't answer is the probability of hitting the best players, so the 88+'s, the icons, the informs. Basically what @Tof33z has said.

I doubt that 84 and all the 85+ rated players, especially icons, are distributed in packs equally.

Whether that will correlate to the same probability from... I don't know, 20 or 50 packs, is highly doubtful.

So what should really be written there is "certain", "not very likely", and "not likely"...

think you have more chance sleeping with the Icon then packing him

Simulations have nothing to do with it. Pack odds aren't given to us by the divine providence, they're programmed by EA. They know the actual odds of packing certain players.

I just wish he had something a little more specific than this.

To be fair, I opened only 30 or so of WC 7.5k free packs and packed Fof Ronaldo so...

Probably it's just something to cover their legal backsides.

"It's not gambling if you know the chances of what you're going to get!"...

0.0000000000000001%

We're going to see a lot of probability fails in the forums.

Mods going to have the following on copy & paste in a heartbeat ;

"Any probability percentages that you see are on a pack-by-pack basis and are not cumulative. That means that each pack opening is an independent event; opening multiple packs does not change the likelihood of being awarded an item from a specific category. If you flip a coin three times and get heads each time, you still have a 50% chance of getting heads if you flip the coin again. "Don’t celebrate too fast. That 4.5% may easily mean 4.49% for the 84 and 0.01% for the +. 😀😀😀

Additionaly there are so many different other flavors that are not covered by that image, such as TOTW, Icons, etc...