July 28, 2018 4:20PM
edited July 2018

like everyone else been packing blues the past 2-3 days in literally every single pack, even in silver upgrade packs

yesterday when the 5x 50ks came out i opened the 1st one and got 2 blues...

opened the other 4 today and didn't get a single blue...

anyone else experiencing the same?

yesterday when the 5x 50ks came out i opened the 1st one and got 2 blues...

opened the other 4 today and didn't get a single blue...

anyone else experiencing the same?

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## Comments

Look up the definition of luck.

haha ok, guess my luck atm is really bad now... not a single blue in 4x 50ks..... and i was about to do R9 and Maldini sbcs thinking this would be the best time to....

Such a hard concept to grasp for some

ya i just can't explain why my luck has changed so much all of a sudden

That's literally the point in it.

i prefer to look at it scientifically...

probability of getting blues in 2 consecutive silver upgrade packs vs probability of no blues in 4x 50ks

ok i guess EA didn't lower the pack weights of cards that has TOTS then

really...

so i guess not everyone is getting blues in every single pack then..

i actually was until i reset my console earlier coz the menu was laggy... regret doing it now

that's what i thought... but the last 4x 50ks i opened felt like TOTS were not in packs anymore

Yeah you pissed off the luck fairies that live inside the console.

That’s the thing, science gets somewhat muddled regarding ‘luck’.

You could pack 30 tots in a row from silver upgrades, and then none in 30 50k’s.

Just because you’ve opened 30 50k’s and not had one doesn’t mean you’ve an improved chance in the next one, and a greater chance each time you don’t get one. I can’t remember what it’s called but someone on here will know what it is, but basically if the chances are 100-1 to get a blue, you can open x number of pack without one, the odds are the same every pack regardless of how soon or not you get one.

it's like a coin-toss, you always have a 50/50 chance, but in 100 tries, the expected outcome is around 50 heads and 50 tails... so if you open enough packs, it IS expected that you pack something if the weight is decent..

Expectation is different to reality.

Yes you would EXPECT it to be the same, but the chance of getting 100 heads is the same as 50 of each.

no it's not... it's always converging to 50/50 in 100 tries. 100 heads is almost impossible, while 50/50 the expected

It's the same chance each time, previous flips don't change anything.

I'll take any bet that in a 100 coin throw, at most 60 will be heads or tails... anything over a 60 in a 100 sample size is really abnormal

I'm not arguing against that, I'm saying the chance of heads or tails is always 50/50 regardless of previous flips. It's fixed odds.

The odds don't change say like they would if you had 50 red balls and 50 blue balls in a bag and take one out, the odds of the next pull is impacted by the results of the previous pull.

I’ve had blues constantly from packs this past week, and now today I did prime Ronaldinho and only got tots rabiot from the packs.

Savage.

Fof will be in packs after that so maybe leave it on till the end of futties.