Just beat a guy in a penalty shootout in WL but got to feel sorry for him.
In the clip you'll see the last 3 pens of the shootout. I'm in the white Olympiacos kit, he's in the black. Both of my last 2 pens he's guessed the right direction and they have still gone in.
I think EA have to bump up the chances of saving a pen if you guess right. I would be raging if that had happened to me.